RRA's Refi-to-Acquisition Cycle Index
The share of commercial real estate bridge loan requests received by RRA Capital that seek acquisition financing rather than refinancing. Requests span all major U.S. commercial property types, with loan sizes primarily from $5 million to $100 million.
In Q3 2026, acquisitions made up 49.4% of the acquisition and refinance financing requests RRA Capital received, up 3.4 points from Q2 2026 and close to the 3-year average of 50.0%.
Acquisition requests as a share of all acquisition and refinance requests received each quarter. A reading above 50% indicates an expansion or recovery phase, in which sponsors are committing fresh equity and value-add opportunities predominate. A reading below 50% indicates a contraction or correction phase, in which refinancing pressure on existing assets is elevated and distressed opportunities predominate.
Same measure for each major property type. Dashed line is that type's 3-year rolling average. Quarters with fewer than 30 requests for a type are left out.
Each quarter, RRA Capital classifies the U.S. commercial real estate bridge loan requests it receives by stated purpose: acquisition or refinance. The index is acquisition requests as a percentage of both. Construction and note-purchase requests are excluded.
Readings above 50% indicate market expansion with value-add opportunities predominating; readings below 50% indicate market contraction with distressed opportunities predominating.
The 3-year average is the mean of the 12 quarters before the current one.
It reflects requests received by RRA Capital, a bridge lender, not the commercial real estate market as a whole. It measures demand at the request stage and is not a measure of loans closed.
The 3-year average is a benchmark for recent conditions. A reading above it means acquisition requests to RRA Capital are running stronger than the recent cycle; below it, weaker. Because the window rolls forward each quarter, older rate environments drop out over time.
Property types appear only in quarters with at least 30 requests, and need at least 50 in the latest quarter to be featured. Published quarters are never revised.
The RRA Capital Cycle Index™ is derived solely from financing requests submitted to RRA Capital and reflects only the characteristics of those requests. The index does not represent the commercial real estate market generally, any geographic market, any property sector, or any category of investors or borrowers.The index measures request activity only and does not reflect loans originated, loans funded, transaction volume, property values, investment performance, borrower performance, loan performance, market returns, or economic conditions.Information presented is based on data collected and classified by RRA Capital according to its internal methodology. Results may be affected by changes in referral sources, marketing activity, customer mix, geographic concentration, product focus, data collection practices, and other factors unrelated to broader market conditions.The index is intended solely for informational and educational purposes.
It should not be interpreted as investment advice, legal advice, tax advice, a forecast, a prediction of future market activity, or a recommendation regarding any security, fund, investment strategy, loan, or real estate transaction.References to historical trends, averages, or prior readings do not imply future results. Past patterns may not continue.RRA Capital and its affiliates may sponsor, manage, advise, invest in, lend to, or transact with entities operating in the commercial real estate market discussed herein.Data and methodology are subject to correction of material errors and may be updated from time to time.
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